Senator Eduardo Braga (MDB-AM), rapporteur of the Bill 5,473/2025estimated that the increase in taxation on bets and fintechs could generate up to R$18 billion in revenue between 2026 and 2028. The proposal, authored by senator Renan Calheiros (MDB-AL), will be analyzed this Tuesday (4) by Economic Affairs Committee (CAE) of the Senate.
The text was presented last week with the aim of resuming points of the Provisional Measure after the filing of Provisional Measure (MP) 1,303/2025, which provided for alternatives to the greater increase in the Tax on Financial Operations (IOF), blocked in the Chamber. At the beginning of October, the Chamber removed the MP from the agenda, which had already been approved by the Joint Congressional Committee, chaired by Calheiros, but ended up expiring due to the end of its validity period.

According to Braga, the fiscal impact would be R$4.98 billion in 2026, R$6.38 billion in 2027 and R$6.69 billion in 2028. The largest volume, around R$13.3 billion, would come from increasing the rate on fixed-odds bets, from 12% to 24%.
The project determines that the additional 12 percentage points charged to betting operators be allocated to the Union’s social security, but provides that part or all of this collection, between 2026 and 2028, can be passed on to states, the Federal District and municipalities to compensate for revenue losses resulting from the expansion of Income Tax exemptions on their payrolls.
Fonte Gaming365 – Brasil